Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Preface OF (The story OF Trend Band)

 

Preface

Why This Book Exists

 

This book was born from necessity—and rebellion.

Originally submitted to a publisher, the manuscript was rejected not for its quality, but for its intensity.

They feared it was 'too real,' 'too philosophical,' and 'too focused on charts rather than standard finance theory.'

 

I took this as confirmation. That the path I was on was correct, because it wasn’t palatable to those trapped in mediocrity.

They wanted another soft-edged guide. I wanted to build a battlefield manual.

 

This book is not just another technical analysis textbook. It's a philosophical engine designed to crack open your assumptions, and rebuild your instinct.

You are not a casual reader. You are a seeker—of patterns, of insight, of execution.

 

Let the others read narratives. You came here to trade. And to understand yourself.

Don't limit yourself to the idea that if two points exist, they can be connected, or that a trend is necessarily a stock trend line. A trend is a tendency (傾向) in a certain direction in an idea, behavior, or phenomenon.

So moving average lines are trend lines, and trends are trend bands, and cultural trends are Trend Bands as well. This is because a trend is the persistence of a pattern, and the physical term Newton's inertia is the weight class of a trend.

In this book, we cover the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, SP, NASDAQ, KOSPI, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, Samsung Electronics, and Korean IT companies.

The correct way to look at weight classes in any trend is that bigger is always better. The bigger ones break away from the smaller ones. So, the order of the moving average line is 5 → 10 → 20 → 60 → 120 → 240ma. This is the same as the following order: minute price → day price → week price → month price → year price. So, Samsung Electronics → Korean IT companies → Philadelphia Semiconductor Index → KOSPI → NASDAQ → SP → Dow Industrials in descending order.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → If we can confirm that when the moving average line in reverse order is “Millennium Candle Chart (240, 120, 60, 20, 10, 5)M.a”) the breaks of 'life, universe, civilization, *philosophy*, culture, national sentiment, tradition, custom, economy, politics = *instinct*, belief, strength, stubbornness, habit, hobby, taste' also follow this principle, just like the breaks of annual, monthly and weekly prices, then the history of stock prices is a cycle of life history in a descending pattern.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → Therefore, all the world, regardless of stock or culture, is not free from the truth of the Saintly Soldier. This is why the slope of every πŸ“Š trend band can be defined by derivatives and integrals, and why every πŸ“Š trend band shown here can be quantified by a moving average line. Therefore, without the lessons and techniques learned from history and stock charts, these patterns could not exist.

This book will be of value to those who are familiar with moving averages but have not been able to integrate that knowledge with the psychological inflection point. This is because, for long-term investors, the same concept can be interpreted as a parallel movement of the daily price at a ratio of 25 times the monthly price, and the annual salary at a multiplier of 12 times, and vice versa. Turned upside down, a moving average line is neither a moving average line nor a trend unless the smaller part breaks first and then the larger part breaks

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → In fact, as you read through the book, you'll find many things that don't come easily to you. I don't intentionally make charting language difficult. By its very nature, charting language is arrogant and exclusive. In its defense, it's like the Aesop's fable where the will says "there is treasure hidden in the vineyard". In reality, there was no treasure in the vineyard. The moral of the story is that if the reader can plough up the vineyard in search of the treasure, he or she can avoid a bad year in viticulture. Therefore, if you trust the author's argument and make a sincere effort to read, the treasure of the vineyard will be yours. If you read, think, and analyses carefully, you will probably understand and synchronize your thoughts with mine, and you will undoubtedly achieve the desired results.

If you are in a situation where you get a different result and want to leave a "bad word" for me, I will give you this advice: it is not my place to intervene in the first place, and moreover, stock investing is 30% technical knowledge, 70% insight and psychological factors, and psychological control based on **greed** and **fear**.

The reader should be able to quantify the trend lines of psychological proportions and use them freely. For example, if you can feel how the temperature spreads between the top and bottom of a heated room at different times of the day, you can indirectly experience the author's description of psychological mood swings. The size of the room is up to the reader.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → It's not easy to standardize or quantify due to the different proportions of body weight in the way we look at things and the different interpersonal relationships between people, just as we all have different personalities. As a result, it can be difficult to Quantify or quantify the size of the wave. As a result, it may be difficult for readers to tell whether they are looking at a cat and seeing a tiger or a tiger and seeing a cat. However, if we zoom in 13 times on a 30-minute chart (30m X 13 bars=390 minutes=6.5 hours)

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → it becomes a daily chart. By the same token, the cultural trends of the old masters can be applied at ratios of a thousand, ten thousand, and hundreds of millions of times. Therefore, this book reflects the psychology of ultra-short-term investors, but it also utilizes ultra-long-term psychological changes. As mentioned above, it is enough to increase the ratio and scale from 5 minutes to 6 times (5x6=30 minutes’ chart).

By the way, if you are a reader who wants to win in life by investing in stocks, please pay more attention to the knowledge information in this book and the following ones. If you look at it with an open mind, you will see that stocks reflect not only the reality of companies but also the trend lines of human civilization culture history *philosophy* and psychology.

On the one hand, I have omitted as much as possible what is commonly available on the Internet or what is easily understood by others, because I believe that knowledge without substance is merely a decoration to dazzle people with its glamorous appearance, and the reality is that most people are suspicious of the truth unless it comes from someone whose name is familiar to them, and they will not believe it unless it is handed to them.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → So, I had no choice but to explain in detail how the process of watching the live chart drama leads me to make certain judgements in certain situations. In fact, this book can be difficult to understand for beginners who are new to stocks.

Therefore, this book is more relatable to professionals, industry players, or those with real-world investing experience who can read it without reinforcement of the underlying theory. I have limited energy to convince people who are just starting to invest in stocks, and by default, I am skeptical of those who write "stock books" that preach that stocks are the way to make a lot of money.

I've always been concerned about people who are just starting to get interested in investing in stocks and want to throw their money at it with all sorts of fantasies, because it's a **market** that only wins for those who have spent a long time thinking, researching, experiencing, and developing their skills, and it's a jungle full of people who want their money. Jumping into that jungle without doing your homework is literally a recipe for getting eaten.

To fully understand this book, you probably need to be a full-time investor with at least 10 years of experience in the markets, or someone who has been watching futures, options, bitcoin, etc. for a while and can identify the lows and highs of the waves. If you don't have that level of study and experience, I suggest you read this book ten or twenty times until you get it, because otherwise you're walking into a jungle of lions and tigers with your hard-earned money.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → Based on this, if you are able to see through the emotions of hope, **fear**, and panic, and are able to calmly observe the **market**'s movements and make a cool headed judgement, then you can dive into stock investing. This basically means that you need to be able to read charts and make judgements.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → In fact, the language of charts is a periodic function, which is a derivative of a trend line that repeats itself for thousands of years, just like the cycles of the seasons. So if we don't take a long, hard look at the charts we see now, and analysis them mechanically and quantitatively, we'll always be stuck in the pain of defeat, never learning from past failures.

This book is published in one volume for practical reasons, but it would take ten volumes to tell the full story. I had to leave out some basic explanations, so if you haven't been studying stocks for a while, you might find it a little difficult.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → This may make it feel like a different book every time you read it. Investing is a psychological and philosophical subject, and how you take to philosophical issues is up to you, because the language of charts is not one that can be easily communicated.

The reader must approach it with the same care as Euclidean geometry or Spinoza's ethics to understand its essence. (But don't let that intimidate you).

"There is a saying in the Confucius that goes something like this. "When you are about to speak, reflect on your actions, and when you are about to act, reflect on what you have said." This means that you should be careful about what you say and what you do.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → When I wrote this book, I took Confucius' words to heart, "the higher man speaks after the action as a result” so I believed that I should not deceive the reader with fancy words and logic, but rather reveal the face of the truth to help the reader make the right judgement, and above all, trust can only be fostered when the reader goes through the verification process. One of them is a real-time chart drama based on the evolution of the Samsung Electronics stock price. Take a close look at it, and if you think it's right for you, put your trust in it. If not, you can close the book and turn your back on it right now.

πŸ“Œ [Insert Chart Here] → But if you do decide to invest, I urge you to take a hard look at the real-time charts and take a hard look at your own skills. This is especially true if you're not sure whether to take my word for it or not, which is why I've included a section called "Watching the Chart Soap Opera" in the Investing Diary format. (You can find the real-time material on my blog: https://odysseylee69.blog.me/)

This book does not advocate investing in stocks. If you dive in, you'll only make yourself an easy prey for the Major investors that be. I'm writing about investing in stocks, but I must say that if you decide to take the plunge after reading my book, I want you to be one step away from the responsibility that comes with it.

This book contains dangerous material. Unless it's too late to turn back, I think it's a hundred times better to close the book and get involved in the real world of economics. So unless you're a full-time stock investor and there's no turning back, or you've already gone too far, tread carefully.

If you have no other choice but to continue investing in stocks, you should always do so with a minimum of risk, with a minimum of 80% chance of success, and only with money you can afford.

The purpose of this book is not to tell you how to make a lot of money, but rather to help you lose less money. This is to avoid the danger of being overwhelmed by the enormous mass of human instincts, beliefs, grit, egos, habits, hobbies, and tastes, and losing control.

So we should **fear** the gaze and judgement of experts more than the ignorant public, as Socrates advised: "We should not be concerned with what the public thinks of us, but rather with what justice and truth themselves say." _from the Crito

Finally, I don't deny that this book is not completely free of ethical or moral issues. But at the very least, it will give readers who find it a bit of a stretch a chance to check their own skills. At the same time, it will hopefully serve as a necessary evil to help readers reflect on their position and make more thoughtful decisions.


Tuesday, February 18, 2025

19. Samsung Electroinc



 

For Enlish Speakers

Samsung Electronics' Fate – 19th Blog Post

Reading the Flow of Samsung Electronics

The publication of my book was planned, but due to differences in opinion during the proofreading and editing process with the publisher, its release has been delayed. Therefore, in this blog post, I am adding an updated analysis of Samsung Electronics' stock chart.

The key focus of this analysis is the daily chart of Samsung Electronics.

πŸ” Checking for a Breakout from the Box Range

Looking at the attached chart, the stock price has repeatedly moved up and down within the black box range multiple times. This pattern can be interpreted using inductive techniques, and readers should attempt to answer the following questions on their own:



✔️ Has the stock broken out of the box range?

✔️ How many times has the price tested the upper and lower bounds of the box?

Finding answers to these two questions is crucial.

πŸ“ˆ Condition C and the 80,000 KRW Target

If the stock has broken out of the box range, it is time to analyze the next move using Charles Darwin’s concept of evolution.

✔️ After the breakout, does the stock meet the conditions for an upward trend?

✔️ If Condition C is met, is there a high probability of reaching 80,000 KRW?

At this moment, Conditions 2 and 3 are intersecting on the chart. If Condition C is satisfied, there is potential for Samsung Electronics to reach a new all-time high.



    Contract to 5 years ago

πŸ“Œ Conclusion

Samsung Electronics' current movement resembles past patterns. If the theory that history repeats itself holds true, then there is a solid chance of reaching the 80,000 KRW target.

How is the book different from what it was when it was first published five years ago?
Is the result the same or different?
At this point, you'll have to decide for yourself.

πŸ’‘ What are your thoughts?

Based on this analysis, I encourage readers to examine the chart themselves and make their own judgments.



Thursday, February 6, 2025

06. the Story of Trend for stock/culture/philosophy (to secure proof of upcoming publication) 24/10/27~Last (+1)

 

For Enlish Speaker

Doosan Stock Gains 81%! - Sell Point and Technical Analysis

πŸ“ˆ The most important thing about investing in stocks is knowing when to sell, not just when to buy. Today, I end this blog with an 81% profit on Doosan stock. (Strictly speaking, the profit is a little less than 81%, because I bought at the knee and sold at the elbow)

## Doosan stock price flow and investment process

The sixth and final blog is the final drama. From 01 to 05, the reader can become a forensic tracker, like a frog recalling its tadpole days.

Anyway.

Doosan was a stock I considered buying at the beginning of this blog at around 220,000 won. At the time, my rule of thumb was not to chase the stock, but to buy when it corrected. As expected, the price fell, and I recommended buying at around 180,000 won. However, the price actually dropped to 185,000 won and then surged, eventually reaching 335,000 won (up 81.08%).

## Sell Point Analysis - Based on Technical Analysis

When it comes to selling a stock, you should practice the opposite of the buying principle. If you're not trading on a gut feeling, quantitative and quantitative analysis using charts is essential. In this case, we used a double top pattern and chart signals to determine when to sell Doosan stock.



Monthly Chart for DooSan

πŸ”Ή Monthly candlestick chart analysis

- The January candle formed an Inverted Hammer with a long white body.

- The February candle formed the opposite pattern, a Hammer.

- This is a sign of a possible inflection point.



Daily chart for DooSan

πŸ”Ή Daily chart analysis


- The resistance zone of the Trend Line and Gap has formed.

- This is an important moment to time a sell





πŸ”Ή 60-minute chart analysis

- There is a possibility of a breakout, but I chose to take profit after realising 81% profit.

## Wrapping up - What matters in investing

At the end of this blog, I have locked in 81% profit on Doosan stock. In investing, the timing of selling is more important than buying. By using chart analysis to make logical investments, you can avoid impulsive trading and maximise your profits.

It's time to submit my book manuscript to a publisher! I'll be back with more informative investment stories in the next blog. πŸš€